@article{119861,
  author = {Dana A. Glei and Noreen Goldman and German Rodriguez and Maxine Weinstein},
  title = {Beyond Self-Reports: Changes in Biomarkers as Predictors of Mortality},
  abstract = { The proliferation of biosocial surveys has increased the importance of weighing the costs and benefits of adding biomarker collection to population-based surveys. A crucial question is whether biomarkers offer incremental value beyond self-reported measures, which are easier to collect and impose less respondent burden. We use longitudinal data from a nationally representative sample of older Taiwanese (aged 54+ in 2000, examined in 2000 and 2006 with mortality follow-up through 2011) to address that question with respect to predicting all-cause mortality. A summary measure of biomarkers improves mortality prediction (as measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve) compared with self-reports alone, but individual biomarkers perform better than the summary score. We find that incorporating change in biomarkers over a six-year period yields a small improvement in mortality prediction compared with one-time measurement. But, is the incremental value worth the costs? },
  year = {2014},
  journal = {Population and Development Review},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {331-360},
  url = {https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4117355/},
  language = {eng},
}